Tuesday, March 22, 2011

Failed Auction -Revisit


Few days back posted about failed auction ,what does it mean and possibility of revisit of failed auction prices in next 5 trading days.
You can read that post here

http://mercurycapital.blogspot.com/2011/02/failed-auction.html

I have marked failed auction on chart on 17th Mar,now lets see if market revisits 5528 within next two days, if there is no revisit one can assume that there is more downside.

Here is weekly profile,

As visible market is still below Value area, if it can cross 5450, then its quiet possible to revisit failed auction n may b more upside.
so looking at charts, Buying 5500 CEs with 2-3 days time frame makes sense to me.

Trade wisely!! Happy Trading :)

Monday, March 14, 2011

Normal Variation Day

Updating blog after many days, as Nifty was rotating alot n i had nothing much to write about it.
Anyways today NF Broke out of Balance it was forming for last 3-4days.
Today im going to write about points i observe throughout day, as im
discretionary Trader..i have to be in sync of market n understand whats it doing n how efficiently its doing that job??Mentioned points on chart, changing my charting Platform to Ninja Trader( lately Market Delta Creating lot of problems in data handling,still managed to add MD TPO chart )

Most imp. point for market is OPEN, as open tells us which side overnight Inventory was and then if market sees follow up on that side of Inventory.
  • Friday Market tried to break down n in second half manged to recover..n today market open was on that side i.e.UP
  • Open Inside YVA= suggesting nothing much has changed overnight
  • Open Type= Open drive which has strongest conviction of all the open types.
  • Then next step market crosses YVAH..imp ref point n saw follow up of this buying also, in this process mkt spent Nearly 2 hours rotation in same region but IB high was holding, leaving no case for shorts.
  • so far not any point suggested shorting markets, then in "K" period mkt finally moved away from balance it was forming for 2 hours on upside, breaking 2 days high, managed to close @ Highs.
  • creating Normal Variation day, where target is generally IB X 2 or 1.5, which was hit.
  • For tomorrow  we may see follow up of today's action ..ref point on upside is 5575-5620. 5540-5530 should hold for any up move.
 Today i was in total sync of market, n due to all these pointers was long from the start of day (around 5479) , Thanks to Market Profile :) .

All Comments welcome.